4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,727 sqft ·
Built 1953
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 275 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,409
Tax + insurance
−$1,074
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,556
Net cashflow
$1,372/mo
Annual
$16,461/yr
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.86%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$182,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $686/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $650k).
It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($572k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $572k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in FL, #914 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $650k implies a 856% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in North Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,411/mo this rent would consume 152% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29