2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,288 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 183 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$833
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-171/mo
Annual
$-2,046/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.60%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$44,492
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (19.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (33.5% below list).
It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (33.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#118 in IA, #2,215 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pcm Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #124 of 289 in IA (top 43%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Prairie City Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 320 students, 25% FRL); Pcm Middle School (math 65% / reading 72%, grade A, #126 of 246 statewide, top 53%, 247 students, 29% FRL); Pcm High School (math 64% / reading 83%, grade B+, #108 of 336 statewide, top 33%, 357 students, 21% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $51k; list at $159k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KQH0D76J7TJEJV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29