3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,904 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 167 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$871
Tax + insurance
−$147
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$215/mo
Annual
$2,584/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.56%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$46,480
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $166k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (6.0% below list).
It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#55 in NC, #4,469 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, commute F.
Macon County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #71 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Franklin Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 360 students, 99% FRL); Franklin High (math 77% / reading 60%, grade B, #134 of 535 statewide, top 25%, 1,005 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 606 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macon County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $166k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.4% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KQZ5BWC2VPTE2Y
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29