3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,651/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-516/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-516/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (3.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (15.3% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Timothy Ball Elementary School (math 67% / reading 59%, grade B, #99 of 994 statewide, top 10%, 540 students, 31% FRL); Colonel John Wheeler Middle School (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D+, #76 of 330 statewide, top 23%, 1,046 students, 24% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 984 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.7% in Crown Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely outdated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and some discoloration
Moderate: interior walls
— dated wallpaper and peeling paint
Moderate: windows
— some windows appear old and may need replacement
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· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29