1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
725 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,853/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$767
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$-816/mo
Annual
$-9,797/yr
Cap rate
1.82%
Cash-on-cash
-15.98%
DSCR
0.29
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $219k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-816 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (53.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (53.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in NJ, #3,845 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: cost of living F.
Bayonne School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #354 of 472 in NJ (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Woodrow Wilson Community School (math 12% / reading 46%, grade F, #766 of 1,303 statewide, top 59%, 727 students, 61% FRL); Bayonne High School (math 19% / reading 48%, grade F, #251 of 399 statewide, top 64%, 2,656 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 3.4% in Bayonne — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Light wear and tear.
Major: bathroom tiles
— Pink tiles appear outdated and in poor condition.
Minor: kitchen appliances
— White appliances in good condition.
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and possibly in need of replacement.
Major: flooring
— Worn tiles in both kitchen and bathroom.
Minor: paint
— Painted walls in fair condition, but could be refreshed for a fresh look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KRQJVHAE4SB6GX
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29