4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1920
· Condo
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,707/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$569
Net cashflow
$-453/mo
Annual
$-5,432/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.17%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $375k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (17.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (27.8% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $271k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#74 in NY, #1,143 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,707/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Outdated and worn, requiring replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and in need of replacement.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Wear and discoloration, may need repainting or replacement.
Major: HVAC unit
— Old and may need replacement or significant maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KS0F4256C4ECZR
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29