4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,267/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$150/mo
Annual
$1,798/yr
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.14%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#426 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Stark County CUSD 100 (rural): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #435 of 620 in IL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stark County Elem Sch (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 303 students, 0% FRL); Stark County Junior High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 148 students, 0% FRL); Stark County High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 241 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stark County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $125k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KST39JENS30WYZ
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29