7644 19th Ter

Lehigh Acres, FL 33935

$420,000D-

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · Built 2026 · Land · Active · 83 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,296/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,203
• Tax + insurance: −$401
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$482
• Net cashflow: $-790/mo
• Annual: $-9,481/yr
• Cap rate: 4.39%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.78%
• DSCR: 0.70
• 1% rule: 0.55%
• Cash to close: $117,600

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $420k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-790 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (33.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (45.3% below list).
• It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $230k (45.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
• Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Labelle Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 437 students, 77% FRL); Labelle Middle School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 817 students, 72% FRL); Labelle High School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,451 students, 62% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Market conditions: 950 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $62k; list at $420k implies a 580% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $2,296/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.