3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
968 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,690/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$619
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$388/mo
Annual
$4,653/yr
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.63%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$33,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#875 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 477 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $118k implies a 293% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KV1YKZA5Y3X587
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29