1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
631 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,959
Tax + insurance
−$554
HOA
−$321
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$882
Net cashflow
$-1,516/mo
Annual
$-18,192/yr
Cap rate
3.88%
Cash-on-cash
-8.61%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$211,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $755k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $487k (35.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $420k (44.4% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($732k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $420k (44.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $81k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $76k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $650k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$130k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,200/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 5879% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KVD00ND226CG9B
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29