28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
7,617 sqft ·
Built 1937
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,620/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$688
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,180
Net cashflow
$2,708/mo
Annual
$32,494/yr
Cap rate
22.62%
Cash-on-cash
58.32%
DSCR
3.59
1% rule
2.82%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $677/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#802 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
North Collins Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #589 of 755 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Collins Elementary School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 309 students, 38% FRL); North Collins Junior-Senior High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 248 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29