2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,068 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$139/mo
Annual
$1,666/yr
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.62%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in KS, #2,407 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
Durham-Hillsboro-Lehigh (town): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #16 of 169 in KS (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hillsboro Elem (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 313 students, 49% FRL); Hillsboro Middle/High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #12 of 327 statewide, top 5%, 327 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $90k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KVNZRX3YHENBF7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29