5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,079 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,307
Tax + insurance
−$620
HOA
−$44
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$705
Net cashflow
$-321/mo
Annual
$-3,850/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$123,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $440k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-321 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $383k (12.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $336k (23.7% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $336k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Inman Elementary (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #165 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 663 students, 32% FRL); Whitewater Middle School (math 55% / reading 65%, grade B, #41 of 470 statewide, top 9%, 864 students, 20% FRL); Whitewater High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #37 of 424 statewide, top 9%, 1,387 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fayetteville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KVZ95BC94SDZ6Q
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29