1611 Lago Mar Dr

Viera East, FL 32940

$404,999D-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,034 sqft · Built 2002 · SingleFamily · Active · 53 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,091/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,124
• Tax + insurance: −$420
• HOA: −$319
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$649
• Net cashflow: $-421/mo
• Annual: $-5,051/yr
• Cap rate: 5.05%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.45%
• DSCR: 0.80
• 1% rule: 0.76%
• Cash to close: $113,400

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $405k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-421 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (18.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (23.7% below list).
• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $309k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#141 in FL, #1,964 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F.
• Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Quest Elementary School (math 83% / reading 80%, grade A+, #90 of 2,144 statewide, top 4%, 691 students, 20% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 67% / reading 59%, grade B+, #111 of 571 statewide, top 20%, 673 students, 41% FRL); Viera High School (math 58% / reading 71%, grade B-, #78 of 667 statewide, top 13%, 2,289 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 43% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Brevard average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 593 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.