3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,556 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,017
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-286/mo
Annual
$-3,429/yr
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.31%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$54,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $194k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (26.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (37.7% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#306 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lynnville-Sully Community School District (rural): math 80% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #33 of 289 in IA (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KXA15DDQJ4QHEN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29