3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,077 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-209/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-209/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in WI, #3,585 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Oconto Unified School District (town): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #155 of 342 in WI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Oconto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oconto County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Oconto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KXE3272E9DACCZ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29