2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,270 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,699/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$517
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$567
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-781/yr
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.90%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $310k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-781/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (3.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (12.9% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $270k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#251 in NY, #3,941 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Highland Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #227 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C+, #899 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 638 students, 38% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 376 students, 42% FRL); Highland High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 512 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Highland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29