361 bd · None ba ·
32,375 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$31,504/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,900
Tax + insurance
−$1,842
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,616
Net cashflow
$17,146/mo
Annual
$205,754/yr
Cap rate
24.58%
Cash-on-cash
65.32%
DSCR
3.91
1% rule
2.80%
Cash to close
$315,000
Investor read
This is a 19 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.12M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17k ($206k/yr) — positive. Per door: $902/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($32k rent vs $1.12M).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.02M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.02M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $120k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $112k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#539 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Bemus Point Central School District (rural): math 65% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #238 of 755 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $750k; list at $1.12M implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $315k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$193k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 1.8% in Bemus Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KXRB097F2F31RN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29