10 bd · 5.0 ba ·
5,306 sqft ·
Built 1999
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 210 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$917
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,127
Net cashflow
$437/mo
Annual
$5,249/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.41%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$154,000
Investor read
This is a 10-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $550k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $536k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($484k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $484k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in TX, #3,832 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
Lampasas ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #278 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 342 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lampasas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lampasas County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.1% in Lampasas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KYT5AQ8CQ4FBGS
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29