2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,067/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$275
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$481/mo
Annual
$5,773/yr
Cap rate
17.31%
Cash-on-cash
39.34%
DSCR
2.75
1% rule
2.04%
Cash to close
$14,672
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $362 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Koelsch Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #344 of 357 statewide, top 97%, 320 students, 99% FRL); Fairmont Junior High School (math 23% / reading 44%, grade F, #87 of 109 statewide, top 80%, 677 students, 41% FRL); Capital Senior High School (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #59 of 169 statewide, top 35%, 1,220 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 33% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Boise Independent District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.8% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29