5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$722
Net cashflow
$644/mo
Annual
$7,723/yr
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.19%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#490 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, amenities D.
North Warren Regional School District (rural): math 28% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #193 of 472 in NJ (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 630 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (315 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $300k implies a 362% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KZZFFFCZW0BZST
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29