2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,201 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 889 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,782/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,269
Tax + insurance
−$403
HOA
−$560
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$-825/mo
Annual
$-9,899/yr
Cap rate
2.20%
Cash-on-cash
-14.61%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$67,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-825 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (5.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 889 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tomoka Elementary School (math 62% / reading 61%, grade B, #634 of 2,144 statewide, top 30%, 709 students, 50% FRL); David C. Hinson Sr. Middle School (math 52% / reading 49%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 950 students, 52% FRL); Mainland High School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,855 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1349 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 74% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 2.2% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 889 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof details.
Major: exterior siding
— No visible siding details.
Major: exterior paint
— No visible paint details.
Major: interior walls
— No interior wall details.
Major: flooring
— No flooring details.
Major: systems
— No system details visible.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M0T99TCGNRQ0BS
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29