5 bd · 8.0 ba ·
4,189 sqft ·
Built 1903
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,012
Tax + insurance
−$1,905
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,240
Net cashflow
$6,273/mo
Annual
$75,277/yr
Cap rate
16.13%
Cash-on-cash
35.14%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
2.02%
Cash to close
$214,200
Investor read
This is a 8 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $765k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($75k/yr) — positive. Per door: $784/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $765k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($673k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $673k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $530k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $214k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,430/mo this rent would consume 241% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M13SV9FXC91AT6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29