3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,533/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$532
Net cashflow
$1,368/mo
Annual
$16,416/yr
Cap rate
27.28%
Cash-on-cash
74.97%
DSCR
4.34
1% rule
3.09%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $589 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,251 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Parkland SD (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fogelsville Sch (math 63% / reading 73%, grade B+, #187 of 1,518 statewide, top 13%, 511 students, 28% FRL); Springhouse Ms (math 50% / reading 71%, grade B+, #39 of 512 statewide, top 8%, 1,344 students, 29% FRL); Parkland Hs (math 81% / reading 24%, grade C-, #107 of 437 statewide, top 25%, 3,220 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 27.3% vs local median 2.9% in Breinigsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— old and outdated
Major: interior walls
— dated wallpaper and peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-M1N5A90JQF5V7H
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29