2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$1,192
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$-239/mo
Annual
$-2,869/yr
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.86%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (19.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— The brick facade and exterior walls show significant wear and tear, indicating a need for repainting or possibly a new coat of paint.
Major: roof
— The roof is not visible, but given the exterior condition, it is likely in need of repair or replacement.
Major: kitchen cabinetry
— The kitchen cabinetry is dated and in poor condition, indicating a need for replacement or renovation.
Major: bathroom tiles
— The pink tiles in the bathroom are dated and in poor condition, indicating a need for replacement or renovation.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M1ZFXRES3MHKE4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29