1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,537/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$767
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$533
Net cashflow
$-483/mo
Annual
$-5,800/yr
Cap rate
3.96%
Cash-on-cash
-8.32%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-483 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#619 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
North Babylon Union Free School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #202 of 590 in NY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Belmont Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 370 students, 52% FRL); Robert Moses Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #464 of 729 statewide, top 64%, 1,074 students, 49% FRL); North Babylon High School (math 90% / reading 92%, grade A+, #203 of 1,100 statewide, top 20%, 1,506 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 24% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M200VY9B18N5FB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29