2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
552 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,943/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$123
Tax + insurance
−$18
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$408
Net cashflow
$1,394/mo
Annual
$16,729/yr
Cap rate
77.48%
Cash-on-cash
254.24%
DSCR
12.31
1% rule
8.27%
Cash to close
$6,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $162 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $705 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#491 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 77.5% vs local median 2.3% in South Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M27A3HA7RXVZSX
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29