3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
815 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Manufactured
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,706/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$880
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$157/mo
Annual
$1,881/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.93%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
3.79%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#55 in UT, #3,285 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Granite District (suburban): math 26% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 80 in UT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Granger School (math 15% / reading 16%, grade F, #554 of 585 statewide, top 95%, 755 students, 73% FRL); Valley Jr High (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #130 of 138 statewide, top 94%, 639 students, 66% FRL); Granger High (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #167 of 171 statewide, top 98%, 3,481 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 45% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Granite District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 52% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 227 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,970 units permitted in Salt Lake County in 2024 (1,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salt Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M2AA3Z0ER31T68
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29