3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,941 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,210/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-187/mo
Annual
$-2,238/yr
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.10%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$54,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (16.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (37.9% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (37.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Charleston School District (rural): math 46% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #39 of 238 in AR (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Charleston Elementary School (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #109 of 454 statewide, top 25%, 454 students, 47% FRL); Charleston High School (math 38% / reading 46%, grade F, #38 of 292 statewide, top 14%, 435 students, 44% FRL).
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M2VHXGAMZ2ZCND
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29