430 Post Rd #126

Kennebunk, ME 04090

$70,000C+

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 396 sqft · Built 2003 · Manufactured · Active · 40 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,860/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax + insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$842
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$391
• Net cashflow: $194/mo
• Annual: $2,332/yr
• Cap rate: 9.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.90%
• DSCR: 1.53
• 1% rule: 2.66%
• Cash to close: $19,600

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
• It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in ME, #2,049 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Wells Elementary School (math 87% / reading 91%, grade A+, #73 of 294 statewide, top 25%, 551 students, 15% FRL); Wells Junior High School (math 86% / reading 90%, grade A+, #27 of 85 statewide, top 31%, 441 students, 19% FRL); Wells High School (math 98% / reading 92%, grade A+, #18 of 108 statewide, top 22%, 415 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
• Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.6% in Kennebunk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.