3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,203 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,077/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$-52/mo
Annual
$-624/yr
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-624/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (15.2% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#52 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Long Beach School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #9 of 130 in MS (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Thomas L Reeves Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #92 of 375 statewide, top 26%, 431 students, 99% FRL); Harper Mc Caughan Elem School (math 54% / reading 50%, grade C+, #25 of 179 statewide, top 14%, 687 students, 100% FRL); Long Beach Senior High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 932 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.7% in Long Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M3BK4YD1NXQFXD
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29