2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,798 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Townhouse
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,342/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$327
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-880/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.31%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-880/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#253 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M40QZ91J5TCM1S
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29