2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
930 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-216/mo
Annual
$-2,594/yr
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.21%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (25.0% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in NH, #2,314 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Gilford School District (rural): math 52% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in NH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gilford Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #42 of 263 statewide, top 19%, 322 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $220k implies a 589% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.8% in Laconia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M47YNFFQ1DV4BS
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29