3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,575 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,175/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$148/mo
Annual
$1,778/yr
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.52%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in WI, #750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: employment F.
Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lake Superior Elementary (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #857 of 1,041 statewide, top 83%, 603 students, 61% FRL); Ashland Middle (math 15% / reading 33%, grade F, #325 of 383 statewide, top 85%, 398 students, 61% FRL); Ashland High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 626 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M499A46SN1NRMK
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29