8 bd · 10.0 ba ·
3,670 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,334
Tax + insurance
−$742
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,044
Net cashflow
$851/mo
Annual
$10,212/yr
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.20%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$124,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $445k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $213/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $445k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $432k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1168 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,970/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 3329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: kitchen appliances
— Old and outdated
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Old and outdated
Major: flooring
— Carpeted and dated
CashFlowRE · CFR-M4GAGF1VFFBP7B
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29