Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30904
$138,000D+
3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,094 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,345/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$724
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,341/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.06%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$38,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilkinson Gardens Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 466 students, 98% FRL); Murphey Middle School (math 0% / reading 6%, grade F, #469 of 470 statewide, top 100%, 635 students, 98% FRL); Josey High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 779 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 4% at this address vs 16% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richmond County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $138k implies a 294% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M4H7KTC947BYFE
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29