3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 403 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$197
Net cashflow
$375/mo
Annual
$4,504/yr
Cap rate
13.93%
Cash-on-cash
27.27%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 403 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $987 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Marvell School District (rural): math 14% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #243 of 245 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Phillips County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phillips County population projected at -45% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 403 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M4NCBA35V6E41H
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29