239 SW 9th St #1604

Miami, FL 33130

$81,000D+

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 494 sqft · Built 2024 · Condo · Active · 157 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,557/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$425
• Tax + insurance: −$135
• HOA: −$70
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$747
• Net cashflow: $2,180/mo
• Annual: $26,165/yr
• Cap rate: 38.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 115.37%
• DSCR: 6.13
• 1% rule: 4.39%
• Cash to close: $22,680

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $81k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $81k).
• It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $71k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $560 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Southside Preparatory Academy (math 54% / reading 61%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 929 students, 39% FRL); Shenandoah Middle School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #381 of 571 statewide, top 67%, 1,296 students, 72% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 642 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 13 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 38.6% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,557/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 5231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?