1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
949 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,884/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,407
Tax + insurance
−$765
HOA
−$261
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,026
Net cashflow
$426/mo
Annual
$5,108/yr
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
3.97%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$128,520
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $459k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $459k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($452k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $452k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#119 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
Westport School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #3 of 153 in CT (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Long Lots School (math 76% / reading 86%, grade A+, #20 of 553 statewide, top 4%, 590 students, 2% FRL); Staples High School (math 76% / reading 92%, grade A, #3 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 1,686 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M5CHXD4CXTD46B
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29