2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,222 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,026/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$160/mo
Annual
$1,919/yr
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.53%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (2.2% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $103k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#392 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Davis (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #112 of 270 in OK (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Davis Es (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 373 students, 0% FRL); Davis Hs (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 447 statewide, top 33%, 234 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Murray County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $105k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M5KVJSFXH25PA5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29