2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$821/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$172
Net cashflow
$483/mo
Annual
$5,801/yr
Cap rate
35.30%
Cash-on-cash
103.59%
DSCR
5.61
1% rule
4.10%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($821 rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#819 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hooks ISD (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #226 of 826 in TX (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M5QPY4B2D2M4ZH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29