3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,089 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,061/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,070/yr
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.18%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (11.6% below list).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#137 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Loup City Public Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #225 of 245 in NE (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Loup City Elementary School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #289 of 502 statewide, top 63%, 201 students, 48% FRL); Loup City High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #208 of 261 statewide, top 86%, 129 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 31% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sherman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sherman County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $120k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29