106 E Mari-b Dr

Center Point, TX 78010

$420,000D-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,040 sqft · Built 1982 · SingleFamily · Active · 388 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,832/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,203
• Tax + insurance: −$361
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$595
• Net cashflow: $-326/mo
• Annual: $-3,917/yr
• Cap rate: 5.36%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.33%
• DSCR: 0.85
• 1% rule: 0.67%
• Cash to close: $117,600

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $420k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $362k (13.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (32.6% below list).
• It's been on market 388 days — a 12% lower offer ($370k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $283k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Center Point ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #359 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Center Point El (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 265 students, 75% FRL); Center Point Middle (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 109 students, 74% FRL); Center Point H S (math 24% / reading 64%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 175 students, 65% FRL).
• Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Kerr County in 2024 (322 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Kerr County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.0% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 388 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.