2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,208 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$736/mo
Annual
$8,830/yr
Cap rate
13.36%
Cash-on-cash
25.23%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Levelland ISD (town): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #566 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Levelland Middle (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 622 students, 79% FRL); Levelland H S (math 67% / reading 55%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 745 students, 67% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Levelland ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M787MG9QN6E1QR
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29