2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,717/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$1,040
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$781
Net cashflow
$-170/mo
Annual
$-2,037/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $281k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Harrison Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Parsons Memorial School (math 71% / reading 62%, grade B+, #575 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 488 students, 24% FRL); Louis M Klein Middle School (math 51% / reading 71%, grade B+, #150 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 824 students, 22% FRL); Harrison High School (math 96%, 1,064 students, 21% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.2% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Minor: HVAC units
— basic units
CashFlowRE · CFR-M7DSZNCPAXXJ11
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29