2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$669
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-918/yr
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.77%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$35,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-918/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (10.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($882 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Iowa Park CISD (town): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #129 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bradford El (math 58% / reading 51%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 447 students, 46% FRL); Iowa Park Jjaep (1 students, 0% FRL); Iowa Park H S (math 72% / reading 67%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 544 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29