3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,521 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,119/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$149/mo
Annual
$1,794/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (2.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $112k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#223 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Denver City ISD (town): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #547 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kelley El (math 37% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,149 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 325 students, 64% FRL); William G Gravitt J H (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 364 students, 63% FRL); Denver City H S (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #821 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 521 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Yoakum County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yoakum County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M7X4KE7R2XGQK0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29