3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,881 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$690
HOA
−$83
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-662/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-662/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (1.8% below list).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $305 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 710 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M7XP386HFTJZKG
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29