2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Pending
· 703 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,617/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$1,067
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$550
Net cashflow
$-1,757/mo
Annual
$-21,084/yr
Cap rate
1.01%
Cash-on-cash
-18.87%
DSCR
0.16
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (34.4% below list).
It's been on market 703 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 102 Bayview (The) (math 58% / reading 69%, grade B, #663 of 2,108 statewide, top 32%, 1,110 students, 64% FRL); Jhs 259 William Mckinley (math 65% / reading 76%, grade A, #84 of 729 statewide, top 12%, 1,591 students, 81% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 1.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 703 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-M842B5470R9H5K
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29