4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,032 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,498/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$359
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$697/mo
Annual
$8,362/yr
Cap rate
19.66%
Cash-on-cash
47.75%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
2.19%
Cash to close
$19,180
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($474 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 7.1% in Chickasaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M8Q9M95GZS0SRX
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29